AI Risk Wire

AI Safety

What AI providers state their models reached in safety testing, in their own words, and what outside testers found.

Also: compare models side by side · statements that a capability level was crossed · providers · practices providers document · safety news.

What providers state

Each row is one statement in a provider's own safety document about a capability level of one of its models: the level as the provider names it, whether the provider says the model reached it, and the sentence that says so.

139 of 139

ModelLevel, as the provider names itThe provider statesThe provider's sentence
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic · 2026-04-16
Automated AI R&D
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “that Opus 4.7 does not cross the threshold for automated AI R&D;” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic · 2026-04-16
CB-1
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “We believe it is hard to be confident regarding whether a model passes this threshold.” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic · 2026-04-16
CB-2
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “Our evaluations suggest that the model is not yet at the level of capability associated with the CB-2 threat model (above).” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
AI R&D rule-out
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “The main reason we have determined that Claude Mythos Preview does not cross the threshold in question is that we have been using it extensively in the course of our day-to-day work and exploring where it can automate such work, and it does not seem close to being able to substitute for Research Scientists and Research Engineers—especially relatively senior ones.” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
Automated AI R&D
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “We assess that Claude Mythos Preview does not cross the automated AI-R&D capability threshold.” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
RSP automated AI R&D
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “we have concluded that Claude Mythos Preview does not cross the RSP automated AI R&D threshold of compressing two years of progress into one.” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
CB-1
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “We believe it is hard to be confident regarding whether a model passes this threshold.” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
CB-2
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “We believe that Claude Mythos Preview does not pass this threshold due to its noted limitations in open-ended scientific reasoning, strategic judgment, and hypothesis triage.” source
GPT-5.4 mini
OpenAI · 2026-03-05
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “GPT-5.4 mini’s biology capabilities are closely comparable to those of GPT-5. We conclude that it, too, is not High under our Preparedness Framework.” source
GPT-5.4 Thinking
OpenAI · 2026-03-05
High
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “For AI self-improvement, evaluations of final checkpoints indicate that, like its predecessor models, gpt-5.4-thinking does not have a plausible chance of reaching a High threshold.” source
GPT-5.4 Thinking
OpenAI · 2026-03-05
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Reached “As we did for gpt-5.2-thinking before it, we are continuing to treat gpt-5.4-thinking as High capability in the Biological and Chemical domain.” source
GPT-5.4 Thinking
OpenAI · 2026-03-05
High
Cyber
Reached “As we did for gpt-5.3-codex, we are treating gpt-5.4-thinking as High capability in the Cybersecurity domain, and applied safeguards as described in the Safeguard section below.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic · 2026-02-17
AI R&D-4
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “Our determination is that Claude Sonnet 4.6 does not cross either the AI R&D-4 or the CBRN-4 capability threshold.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic · 2026-02-17
ASL-3
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “Claude Sonnet 4.6 performed above thresholds for ASL-3 rule-in on all three evaluations for ASL-3, and it did not exceed the performance of previous models.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic · 2026-02-17
ASL-4
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “In particular, it did not cross the threshold on our ASL-4 rule-out evaluation short-horizon computational biology tasks evaluation.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic · 2026-02-17
CBRN-4
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “Our determination is that Claude Sonnet 4.6 does not cross either the AI R&D-4 or the CBRN-4 capability threshold.” source
GPT-5.3-Codex
OpenAI · 2026-02-05
High
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “It does not reach High capability on AI self-improvement.” source
GPT-5.3-Codex
OpenAI · 2026-02-05
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Reached “We are also treating GPT-5.3-Codex as High risk in the Biological and Chemical domain, and applying the same safeguards as for our other deployments of models that reach this designation.” source
GPT-5.3-Codex
OpenAI · 2026-02-05
High
Cyber
Not determined “This is the first launch we are treating as High capability in the Cybersecurity domain under our Preparedness Framework, activating the associated safeguards.” source
Gemini 3 Pro
Google DeepMind · 2025-11
Uplift level 1
Cyber
Not determined “Cybersecurity On key skills benchmark, v1 hard challenges: 11/12 challenges solved; v2 challenges: 0/13 solved end-to-end.” source
Gemini 3 Pro
Google DeepMind · 2025-11
Instrumental reasoning level 1 + 2
Deception and sabotage
Not determined “Misalignment (Exploratory) Agent solves 3/11 situational awareness challenges and 1/4 stealth challenges.” source
Gemini 3 Pro
Google DeepMind · 2025-11
Level 1 (exploratory)
Deception and sabotage
Not reached “Harmful Manipulation Model manipulative efficacy improves on non-generative AI baseline, but shows no significant uplift versus prior models and does not reach alert thresholds.” source
o4-mini
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o4-mini
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o4-mini
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Cyber
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o3
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o3
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o3
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Cyber
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
Operator
OpenAI · 2025-01-23
Low
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “we adapted these two evals for the computer-use setting and found the pre-mitigation operator model to be “low” risk in both categories, consistent with the gpt‑4o model.” source
Operator
OpenAI · 2025-01-23
Low
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “this 1% qualifies as “low” risk, matching gpt‑4o’s “low” risk level, as detailed in openai’s preparedness framework (opens in a new window) 3 .” source
Muse Spark Contemplating
Meta
Moderate or lower
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “Loss of Control risks.We assess loss of control risk as “moderate or lower.”” source
Muse Spark Contemplating
Meta
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Reached “We retain the same “high risk” determination for the unmitigated model.” source
Muse Spark Contemplating
Meta
Moderate or lower
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “After validating that the mitigations deployed for Muse Spark, including refusal mechanisms, continue to perform robustly under the Contemplating architecture, we confirm residual risk at “moderate or lower.”” source
Muse Spark Contemplating
Meta
Moderate or lower
Cyber
Not reached “We assess cybersecurity risk as “moderate or lower” with respect to the threat scenarios outlined in Meta’s Advanced AI Scaling Framework.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
Capability checkpoint
Autonomy and AI research
Reached “Muse Spark 1.1 demonstrates improved coding capabilities, which are now meeting one of the indicative thresholds introduced in Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (specifically, resolving over half of unique tasks on SWE-Bench Verified Hard).” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
Moderate or lower
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “In the Loss of Control domain, the model’s capabilities remain within the “moderate or lower” threshold under Meta’s Advanced AI Scaling Framework.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “Our assessments indicate that, when evaluated without mitigations applied, we cannot rule out Muse Spark 1.1’s capabilities meeting this threshold in both the Chemical & Biological and Cybersecurity domains.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
High
Cyber
Not determined “Our assessments indicate that, when evaluated without mitigations applied, we cannot rule out Muse Spark 1.1’s capabilities meeting this threshold in both the Chemical & Biological and Cybersecurity domains.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
Moderate or lower
Cyber
Not reached “Therefore, we conclude that we have addressed these risks from unmitigated Muse Spark 1.1, which bring the residual risk to the “moderate or lower” risk threshold under Advanced AI Scaling Framework.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
Moderate or lower
Misuse and jailbreaks
Not reached “Therefore, we conclude that we have addressed these risks from unmitigated Muse Spark 1.1, which bring the residual risk to the “moderate or lower” risk threshold under our Advanced AI Scaling Framework.” source

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What outside testers report

Each row is one result from a government evaluator, independent lab, academic or security firm that tested a model, quoted from where it is reported.

1940 of 1940

ModelTesterTestWhat was found
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
scenario questions
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“llms performed worse on the scenario-based question set than on th” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“gpt-5.5 was able to complete the influenza ha task without denial in several attempts across two of the three prompt tiers (figure 4.2), but both models declined all requests to perform the lassa-targeted task (figure 4.1).” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“in our second case study, we prompted the agents to work with a local version of the esm3 generative model, esm3-sm-open-v1,43 and to use it to generate a protein that has less than 90% sequence identity with a provided reference protein.” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
intra-model consistency test (10 repeated evaluations)
Other
“gpt-5-nano for evescape lassa gpc showed only 50% agreement with a mean variance of 0.091, indicating that nearly half of samples received different labels across runs.” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
inter-rater reliability (Krippendorff's alpha) across judge models
Other
“the evescape influenza result (α = 0.077) illustrates the limits of interpreting agreement metrics in isolation.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
CTF challenge machines (M1, M2, M3)
Cyber
“We found that the AI models were able to solve each CTF challenge in under an hour with little guidance, and for total API costs of less than US$20 over all CTF challenges.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
Hack the Box CTF challenge M1
Cyber
“When Sonnet 4.6 completed M1 without the questions in less than five minutes, we” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
Hack the Box CTF challenge M2
Cyber
“Sonnet’s notes track five different methods it attempted to achieve privilege escalation before a sixth was successful.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
Hack the Box CTF challenge M3
Cyber
“Sonnet performed phases 1 to 4 largely as designed (though it took a shortcut on phase 4 as described below), noticing that the cloud services were provided by an emulator, but proceeding to exploit it like the real cloud service.” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT operation case study: EvoEscpe
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“agents were tasked to generate escape scores using the companion repository to the evescape paper.” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
non-scenario questions
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“we first evaluated models on a question set probing specific bt functions without any biological context.” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
scenario questions
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“next, we evaluated llms on a question set that required an agent to map bt functions onto a contextualized biological design scenario.” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
scenario-based question set
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“the scenario-based question set produced higher denial rates, particularly among closed- weight llms (opus 4.7, gemini 3.1 pro, gpt 5.5, and grok 4.3).” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
GFP-targeted task
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“there were several denials on our gfp-targeted task as well, all of which were from the opus 4.7 model inside the cursor scaffold.” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 agent-BT evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“table e.1 and table e.2 list the autograded questions for the evescape and esm3 respectively and their associated categories.” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
inter-rater reliability metrics (Krippendorff's alpha)
Other
“inter-rater reliability metrics in table f.3: • krippendorff's alpha (α): a measure of inter-rater reliability that accounts for chance agreement.” source
Claude Opus 4.6
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
Hack the Box CTF challenge machines (M1, M2, M3)
Cyber
“We found that Claude Code was able to solve all our challenges quickly and cheaply, with relatively straightforward prompting that did not require any cyber knowledge.” source
Claude Opus 4.6
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
Hack the Box CTF challenge M1
Cyber
“When Sonnet 4.6 completed M1 without the questions in less than five minutes, we 7 We avoided using Hack the Bo x (HTB)’s own questions because they were designed educationally to help users build skills incrementally.” source
Claude Opus 4.6
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
Hack the Box CTF challenge M2
Cyber
“M2 Opus 4.6 42m 4s 13m 31s $4.24” source
Claude Opus 4.6
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
Hack the Box CTF challenge M3
Cyber
“M3 Opus 4.6 20m 54s 6m 49s $2.17” source
Claude Opus 4.1
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT operation case study: EvoScape
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“agents were tasked to generate escape scores using the companion repository to the evescape paper.” source
Claude Opus 4.1
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT operation case study: ESM3
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“agents were tasked to demonstrate the mechanics of using esm3 to redesign a protein such that (1) essential functional elements are preserved and (2) the resulting amino acid sequence falls below a predefined sequence identity threshold (90%) relative to the reference protein.” source
Claude Opus 4.1
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
biological tool selection evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“llms performed worse on the scenario-based question set than on the non-scenario set.” source
Claude Opus 4.1
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape agent-BT evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“in our bt operation case studies, we make use of llm autograders to analyze transcripts of task attempts.” source
Claude Opus 4.1
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 agent-BT evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“only three proteins are included in our two agent-bt evaluations: gfp, lassa virus gpc, and influenza virus ha protein.” source
Claude Opus 4.1
Anthropic
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
intra-model consistency test (10 repeated evaluations)
Other
“claude opus 4.1 achieved 100% perfect agreement on evescape influenza but only 62.5% accuracy, demonstrating that a model can be consistently wrong.” source
Gemini 3 Pro
Google DeepMind
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
Cybench
Cyber
“Cybench Description: Cybench is a benchmark containing 40 professional-level Capture the Flag (CTF) tasks from 4 distinct CTF competitions, chosen to be recent (as of 2024), meaningful, and spanning a wide range of difficulties.” source
Gemini 3 Pro
Google DeepMind
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
CyScenarioBench
Cyber
“From Gemini 3 Pro’s Frontier Safety Framework Report : Gemini 3 Pro: 0% (this is the “v2” third-party cyber benchmark)” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
OpenAI CTF
Cyber
“GPT 5.5 system card for GPT 5.3-codex, GPT 5.4, and GPT 5.5” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
OpenAI Cyber Ranges
Cyber
“GPT 5.5’s system card has the score for GPT 5.2-codex, 5.3-codex, 5.4, and 5.5” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
Cyber-ECI
Cyber
“In comparison, GPT-5.5 was 3 months ahead, with a 90% confidence interval of 1-5 months.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
ExploitGym
Cyber
“Models are given a description of each vulnerability and told to use it to achieve ACE in a setting with standard security mitigations disabled.” source
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
Cyber-ECI
Cyber
“The thing that stands out is that Mythos Preview looks way above the linear trend we’ve seen since early 2025 — about 7 months ahead.” source
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
cyber benchmarks (about fifteen, aggregated)
Cyber
“So we gathered about fifteen cyber benchmarks, which mostly measure how well AI can construct exploits (see the Appendix for all the gory details).” source
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
benchmark evaluations by UK AISI
Cyber
“The picture then changed after benchmarking the April version, as UK AISI did.” source
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
Anthropic's real-world analyses of exploit development
Cyber
“Specifically, Anthropic found that Mythos Preview is much better at developing exploits that allow arbitrary code execution than prior models.” source
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
Project Glasswing vulnerability discovery (CVE counts)
Cyber
“High and Critical vulnerabilities from 21 notable organizations exceeded the 2025 baseline by 142% in April and 262% in May.” source
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
curl codebase vulnerability scanning
Cyber
“It found just one low-severity vulnerability, alongside four false positives.” source
Claude Opus 4.8
Anthropic
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
CyScenarioBench
Cyber
“From Anthropic’s Mythos 5 launch post: - Mythos 5: 36.7% - Mythos Preview: 29.2% - Opus 4.8: 16.6%” source
Claude Mythos 5
Anthropic
Epoch AI
Independent lab · 2026-06-11
ExploitGym
Cyber
“Thankfully, we can now spot big capability gaps in the Cyber-ECI, because new unsaturated cyber benchmarks have since been released, such as ExploitBench and ExploitGym .” source

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