AI Risk Wire

AI Safety

What AI providers state their models reached in safety testing, in their own words, and what outside testers found.

Also: compare models side by side · statements that a capability level was crossed · providers · practices providers document · safety news.

What providers state

Each row is one statement in a provider's own safety document about a capability level of one of its models: the level as the provider names it, whether the provider says the model reached it, and the sentence that says so.

139 of 139

ModelLevel, as the provider names itThe provider statesThe provider's sentence
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic · 2026-04-16
Automated AI R&D
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “that Opus 4.7 does not cross the threshold for automated AI R&D;” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic · 2026-04-16
CB-1
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “We believe it is hard to be confident regarding whether a model passes this threshold.” source
Claude Opus 4.7
Anthropic · 2026-04-16
CB-2
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “Our evaluations suggest that the model is not yet at the level of capability associated with the CB-2 threat model (above).” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
AI R&D rule-out
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “The main reason we have determined that Claude Mythos Preview does not cross the threshold in question is that we have been using it extensively in the course of our day-to-day work and exploring where it can automate such work, and it does not seem close to being able to substitute for Research Scientists and Research Engineers—especially relatively senior ones.” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
Automated AI R&D
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “We assess that Claude Mythos Preview does not cross the automated AI-R&D capability threshold.” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
RSP automated AI R&D
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “we have concluded that Claude Mythos Preview does not cross the RSP automated AI R&D threshold of compressing two years of progress into one.” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
CB-1
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “We believe it is hard to be confident regarding whether a model passes this threshold.” source
Claude Mythos Preview
Anthropic · 2026-04-07
CB-2
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “We believe that Claude Mythos Preview does not pass this threshold due to its noted limitations in open-ended scientific reasoning, strategic judgment, and hypothesis triage.” source
GPT-5.4 mini
OpenAI · 2026-03-05
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “GPT-5.4 mini’s biology capabilities are closely comparable to those of GPT-5. We conclude that it, too, is not High under our Preparedness Framework.” source
GPT-5.4 Thinking
OpenAI · 2026-03-05
High
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “For AI self-improvement, evaluations of final checkpoints indicate that, like its predecessor models, gpt-5.4-thinking does not have a plausible chance of reaching a High threshold.” source
GPT-5.4 Thinking
OpenAI · 2026-03-05
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Reached “As we did for gpt-5.2-thinking before it, we are continuing to treat gpt-5.4-thinking as High capability in the Biological and Chemical domain.” source
GPT-5.4 Thinking
OpenAI · 2026-03-05
High
Cyber
Reached “As we did for gpt-5.3-codex, we are treating gpt-5.4-thinking as High capability in the Cybersecurity domain, and applied safeguards as described in the Safeguard section below.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic · 2026-02-17
AI R&D-4
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “Our determination is that Claude Sonnet 4.6 does not cross either the AI R&D-4 or the CBRN-4 capability threshold.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic · 2026-02-17
ASL-3
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “Claude Sonnet 4.6 performed above thresholds for ASL-3 rule-in on all three evaluations for ASL-3, and it did not exceed the performance of previous models.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic · 2026-02-17
ASL-4
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “In particular, it did not cross the threshold on our ASL-4 rule-out evaluation short-horizon computational biology tasks evaluation.” source
Claude Sonnet 4.6
Anthropic · 2026-02-17
CBRN-4
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “Our determination is that Claude Sonnet 4.6 does not cross either the AI R&D-4 or the CBRN-4 capability threshold.” source
GPT-5.3-Codex
OpenAI · 2026-02-05
High
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “It does not reach High capability on AI self-improvement.” source
GPT-5.3-Codex
OpenAI · 2026-02-05
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Reached “We are also treating GPT-5.3-Codex as High risk in the Biological and Chemical domain, and applying the same safeguards as for our other deployments of models that reach this designation.” source
GPT-5.3-Codex
OpenAI · 2026-02-05
High
Cyber
Not determined “This is the first launch we are treating as High capability in the Cybersecurity domain under our Preparedness Framework, activating the associated safeguards.” source
Gemini 3 Pro
Google DeepMind · 2025-11
Uplift level 1
Cyber
Not determined “Cybersecurity On key skills benchmark, v1 hard challenges: 11/12 challenges solved; v2 challenges: 0/13 solved end-to-end.” source
Gemini 3 Pro
Google DeepMind · 2025-11
Instrumental reasoning level 1 + 2
Deception and sabotage
Not determined “Misalignment (Exploratory) Agent solves 3/11 situational awareness challenges and 1/4 stealth challenges.” source
Gemini 3 Pro
Google DeepMind · 2025-11
Level 1 (exploratory)
Deception and sabotage
Not reached “Harmful Manipulation Model manipulative efficacy improves on non-generative AI baseline, but shows no significant uplift versus prior models and does not reach alert thresholds.” source
o4-mini
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o4-mini
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o4-mini
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Cyber
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o3
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o3
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
o3
OpenAI · 2025-04-16
High
Cyber
Not reached “openai’s safety advisory group (sag) reviewed the results of our preparedness evaluations and determined that openai o3 and o4-mini do not reach the high threshold in any of our three tracked categories: biological and chemical capability, cybersecurity, and ai self-improvement.” source
Operator
OpenAI · 2025-01-23
Low
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “we adapted these two evals for the computer-use setting and found the pre-mitigation operator model to be “low” risk in both categories, consistent with the gpt‑4o model.” source
Operator
OpenAI · 2025-01-23
Low
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “this 1% qualifies as “low” risk, matching gpt‑4o’s “low” risk level, as detailed in openai’s preparedness framework (opens in a new window) 3 .” source
Muse Spark Contemplating
Meta
Moderate or lower
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “Loss of Control risks.We assess loss of control risk as “moderate or lower.”” source
Muse Spark Contemplating
Meta
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Reached “We retain the same “high risk” determination for the unmitigated model.” source
Muse Spark Contemplating
Meta
Moderate or lower
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not reached “After validating that the mitigations deployed for Muse Spark, including refusal mechanisms, continue to perform robustly under the Contemplating architecture, we confirm residual risk at “moderate or lower.”” source
Muse Spark Contemplating
Meta
Moderate or lower
Cyber
Not reached “We assess cybersecurity risk as “moderate or lower” with respect to the threat scenarios outlined in Meta’s Advanced AI Scaling Framework.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
Capability checkpoint
Autonomy and AI research
Reached “Muse Spark 1.1 demonstrates improved coding capabilities, which are now meeting one of the indicative thresholds introduced in Muse Spark Safety & Preparedness Report (specifically, resolving over half of unique tasks on SWE-Bench Verified Hard).” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
Moderate or lower
Autonomy and AI research
Not reached “In the Loss of Control domain, the model’s capabilities remain within the “moderate or lower” threshold under Meta’s Advanced AI Scaling Framework.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
High
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
Not determined “Our assessments indicate that, when evaluated without mitigations applied, we cannot rule out Muse Spark 1.1’s capabilities meeting this threshold in both the Chemical & Biological and Cybersecurity domains.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
High
Cyber
Not determined “Our assessments indicate that, when evaluated without mitigations applied, we cannot rule out Muse Spark 1.1’s capabilities meeting this threshold in both the Chemical & Biological and Cybersecurity domains.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
Moderate or lower
Cyber
Not reached “Therefore, we conclude that we have addressed these risks from unmitigated Muse Spark 1.1, which bring the residual risk to the “moderate or lower” risk threshold under Advanced AI Scaling Framework.” source
Muse Spark 1.1
Meta
Moderate or lower
Misuse and jailbreaks
Not reached “Therefore, we conclude that we have addressed these risks from unmitigated Muse Spark 1.1, which bring the residual risk to the “moderate or lower” risk threshold under our Advanced AI Scaling Framework.” source

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What outside testers report

Each row is one result from a government evaluator, independent lab, academic or security firm that tested a model, quoted from where it is reported.

1940 of 1940

ModelTesterTestWhat was found
Grok 4
xAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“gpt-5.5 and claude opus 4.7 were largely blocked from performing our task by either their own refusals or the action of content filters.” source
Grok 4
xAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape immune-evasion prediction model case study
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“in the first case study involving the evescape immune-evasion prediction model, llm agents adopted generally reasonable strategies for repository navigation and workflow execution.” source
Grok 4
xAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 autograder
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“grok 4 had notably low scores on many of these items because it returned minimal reasoning blocks as part of its responses, giving the autograding model limited material to assess.” source
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT selection evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“for the bt selection evaluation, we used the in-built inspect implementation of an agent scaffold that follows react34 logic, with custom token and message limits and access to web search and 33 ai security institute, “inspect ai: framework for large language model evaluations.” 34 yao et al., “react.” 13 browsing tools.” source
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 case study GFP task
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“opus 4.7, gpt-5.5, and gemini 3.1 performed well across the gfp-targeted task in general, though they did not achieve perfect performance across all prompt variants.” source
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 case study influenza HA task
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“as in our evescape results, several models neglected to perform the influenza ha variant of our task.” source
Gemini 3.1 Pro
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
inter-rater reliability metrics (Krippendorff's alpha)
Other
“table f.3. inter-rater reliability and jury performance across datasets dataset krippendorff's α jury accuracy (%) esm3 gfp 0.554 88.9 esm3 influenza ha 0.515 66.7 evescape influenza ha 0.077 68.8 evescape lassa gpc 0.605 62.5 56 discussion intra-model consistency varies substantially across models and datasets.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
agent-driven knowledge benchmark
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“the first component is an agent-driven knowledge benchmark designed to test the ability of llms to select appropriate bts for specific tasks.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape case study
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“the second component of this report assesses the ability of llm agents to perform toy tasks with bts.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
biological tool selection evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“figure 3.1. accuracy of llms on the biological tool selection evaluation ............................... 16” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT selection evaluations
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“the bt selection evaluations are knowledge benchmarks, attempted by llm agents with web access, measuring the ability of those agents to select bts suitable for given biological design tasks.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT selection benchmark
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“to evaluate llm agents’ abilities to select task-appropriate bts, we developed a benchmark assessment consisting of 61 questions across two contexts (non-scenario and scenario).” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 protein design task
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“task design agents were tasked to demonstrate the mechanics of using esm3 to redesign a protein such that (1) essential functional elements are preserved and (2) the resulting amino acid sequence falls below a predefined sequence identity threshold (90%) relative to the reference protein.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT selection evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“for the bt selection evaluation, we used the in-built inspect implementation of an agent scaffold that follows react34 logic, with custom token and message limits and access to web search and 33 ai security institute, “inspect ai: framework for large language model evaluations.”” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
evescape
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“gpt-5.5 was able to complete the influenza ha task without denial in several attempts across two of the three prompt tiers (figure 4.2), but both models declined all requests to perform the lassa-targeted task (figure 4.1).” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
esm3 task
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“in our second case study, we prompted the agents to work with a local version of the esm3 generative model, esm3-sm-open-v1,43 and to use it to generate a protein that has less than 90% sequence identity with a provided reference protein.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT selection knowledge benchmark
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“our bt selection benchmark found that all models were highly performant at identifying bt functions when presented decontextualized questions.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape immune-evasion prediction case study
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“in the first case study involving the evescape immune-evasion prediction model, llm agents adopted generally reasonable strategies for repository navigation and workflow execution.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 protein language model case study
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“the second case study evaluated agents on their ability to carry out basic operations with the esm3 protein language model.” source
Gemini 2.5 Flash
Google DeepMind
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
intra-model consistency test (10 repeated evaluations)
Other
“we evaluated consistency on only the best performing juries using the following metrics.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
agent-driven knowledge benchmark
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“in the bt selection evaluation, all seven llms were able to identify bts suitable for performing certain functions, such as designing a protein.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
evescape case study
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“while agents were able to operate bts for predicting immune evasion (with evescape) and protein redesign (with esm3), most were not able carry out these tasks with perfect consistency.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
biological tool selection evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“accuracy of llms on the biological tool selection evaluation” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
BT selection knowledge benchmark
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“to evaluate llm agents’ abilities to select task-appropriate bts, we developed a benchmark assessment consisting of 61 questions across two contexts (non-scenario and scenario).” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape task
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“the base prompt included the uniprot id for the variant protein.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
bt selection evaluation non-scenario question set
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“we first evaluated models on a question set probing specific bt functions without any biological context.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
bt selection evaluation scenario question set
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“next, we evaluated llms on a question set that required an agent to map bt functions onto a contextualized biological design scenario.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
biological tool selection evaluation (non-scenario question set, MC and OER formats)
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“however, we observed denials in most closed-weight llms (opus 4.7, gemini 3.1 pro, and gpt 5.5) with denials found in both mc and oer question sets for opus 4.7 and gpt 5.5.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
scenario-based biological tool selection question set
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“the scenario-based question set produced higher denial rates, particularly among closed- weight llms (opus 4.7, gemini 3.1 pro, gpt 5.5, and grok 4.3).” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape case study (Lassa virus GPC and influenza HA tasks)
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“gpt-5.5 and claude opus 4.7 were largely blocked from performing our task by either their own refusals or the action of content filters.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
EVEscape influenza HA immune escape prediction task
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“gpt-5.5 was able to complete the influenza ha task without denial in several attempts across two of the three prompt tiers (figure 4.2), but both models declined all requests to perform the lassa-targeted task (figure 4.1).” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 GFP case study
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“opus 4.7, gpt-5.5, and gemini 3.1 performed well across the gfp-targeted task in general, though they did not achieve perfect performance across all prompt variants.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
ESM3 influenza HA case study
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“the same two models that refused evescape, claude opus 4.7 and gpt- 5.5, either refused or were blocked by content filters from completing the esm3 task with the influenza ha target.” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
intra-model consistency test (10 repeated evaluations)
Other
“this analysis quantifies both intra-model consistency (whether a single model produces stable predictions across 10 repeated evaluations) and inter-model reliability (whether different judge models agree on classifications).” source
GPT-5.5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
inter-rater reliability (Krippendorff's alpha) jury analysis
Other
“inter-rater reliability metrics in table f.3:” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
biological tool operation case study: EvoScape
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“we designed case studies for two bts identified as high-risk in the bt risk index: evescape and esm3.” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
biological tool operation case study: ESM3
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“agents were tasked to demonstrate the mechanics of using esm3 to redesign a protein such that (1) essential functional elements are preserved and (2) the resulting amino acid sequence falls below a predefined sequence identity threshold (90%) relative to the reference protein.” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
esm3 protein design task
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“task design agents were tasked to demonstrate the mechanics of using esm3 to redesign a protein such that (1) essential functional elements are preserved and (2) the resulting amino acid sequence falls below a predefined sequence identity threshold (90%) relative to the reference protein.” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
bt selection evaluation
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“for the bt selection evaluation, we used the in-built inspect implementation of an agent scaffold that follows react34 logic, with custom token and message limits and access to web search and 33 ai security institute, “inspect ai: framework for large language model evaluations.”” source
GPT-5
OpenAI
RAND (CAST / Project Canary)
Independent lab · 2026-06-25
non-scenario questions
Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear
“six out of seven llms scored above 80% on the mc question set.” source

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